Liiga · 2027

HPK vs Pelicans prediction, Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 18:30

Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 18:30

In shortThe model favours Pelicans (37.9%). Expected goals are 2.31 – 2.37, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (7.0%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

HPK	37.7%
Draw	24.4%
Pelicans	37.9%

Draw opportunity. The model's draw probability of 24.4% sits above the league average of 23%.

Model odds

HPK	2.65
Draw	4.09
Pelicans	2.64

Market odds

HPK	2.75
Draw	3.60
Pelicans	2.42

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

HPK	2.31
Pelicans	2.37

Most probable score

2–2	7.0% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 7.0%
1–2 6.0%
2–1 5.9%
2–3 5.5%
3–2 5.3%
1–1 5.3%

Goal totals

over 3.5	68.7%
over 4.5	50.2%
over 5.5	32.8%
over 6.5	19.3%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2425 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.