Liiga · 2027

Jukurit vs Ilves prediction, Friday, 23 October 2026 at 18:30

Friday, 23 October 2026 at 18:30

In shortThe model favours Ilves (40.2%). Expected goals are 2.30 – 2.51, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.8%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Jukurit	35.7%
Draw	24.1%
Ilves	40.2%

Model odds

Jukurit	2.80
Draw	4.16
Ilves	2.49

Market odds

Jukurit	3.20
Draw	3.70
Ilves	2.13

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Jukurit	2.30
Ilves	2.51

Most probable score

2–2	6.8% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.8%
1–2 5.9%
2–3 5.7%
2–1 5.4%
3–2 5.2%
1–3 4.9%

Goal totals

over 3.5	70.8%
over 4.5	52.6%
over 5.5	35.1%
over 6.5	21.1%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2433 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-21.