Liiga · 2027

JYP vs HPK prediction, Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 18:30

Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 18:30

In shortThe model favours JYP (51.6%). Expected goals are 3.23 – 2.34, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.9%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

JYP	51.6%
Draw	21.5%
HPK	26.9%

Model odds

JYP	1.94
Draw	4.65
HPK	3.72

Expected goals

JYP	3.23
HPK	2.34

Most probable score

3–2	5.9% probability

Other likely scores

3–2 5.9%
2–2 5.5%
3–1 5.0%
4–2 4.7%
2–1 4.7%
3–3 4.6%

Goal totals

over 3.5	80.6%
over 4.5	65.3%
over 5.5	48.3%
over 6.5	32.5%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2431 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-20.