Liiga · 2027

K-Espoo vs HIFK prediction, Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30

Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:30

In shortThe model favours K-Espoo (46.9%). Expected goals are 2.90 – 2.35, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.1%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

K-Espoo	46.9%
Draw	22.7%
HIFK	30.4%

Model odds

K-Espoo	2.13
Draw	4.40
HIFK	3.29

Expected goals

K-Espoo	2.90
HIFK	2.35

Most probable score

2–2	6.1% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.1%
3–2 5.9%
2–1 5.2%
3–1 5.0%
2–3 4.8%
3–3 4.6%

Goal totals

over 3.5	76.9%
over 4.5	60.3%
over 5.5	42.8%
over 6.5	27.6%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2433 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-21.