Liiga · 2027

Lukko vs HIFK prediction, Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 18:30

Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 18:30

In shortThe model favours Lukko (54.6%). Expected goals are 3.18 – 2.08, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (6.0%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Lukko	54.6%
Draw	21.4%
HIFK	24.0%

Model odds

Lukko	1.83
Draw	4.67
HIFK	4.17

Market odds

Lukko	1.75
Draw	4.25
HIFK	4.10

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Lukko	3.18
HIFK	2.08

Most probable score

3–2	6.0% probability

Other likely scores

3–2 6.0%
3–1 5.8%
2–2 5.7%
2–1 5.5%
4–2 4.8%
4–1 4.6%

Goal totals

over 3.5	77.0%
over 4.5	60.5%
over 5.5	43.1%
over 6.5	27.8%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2425 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.