Liiga · 2027

Sport vs SaiPa prediction, Friday, 23 October 2026 at 18:30

Friday, 23 October 2026 at 18:30

In shortThe model favours SaiPa (48.8%). Expected goals are 2.22 – 3.01, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–3 (6.0%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Sport	28.9%
Draw	22.3%
SaiPa	48.8%

Model odds

Sport	3.46
Draw	4.49
SaiPa	2.05

Market odds

Sport	3.33
Draw	4.00
SaiPa	1.98

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Sport	2.22
SaiPa	3.01

Most probable score

2–3	6.0% probability

Other likely scores

2–3 6.0%
2–2 6.0%
1–3 5.4%
1–2 5.4%
2–4 4.5%
3–3 4.4%

Goal totals

over 3.5	76.6%
over 4.5	59.9%
over 5.5	42.5%
over 6.5	27.2%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2433 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-21.