Liiga · 2027

Tappara vs Ässät prediction, Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 18:30

Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 18:30

In shortThe model favours Tappara (56.7%). Expected goals are 3.42 – 2.17, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.9%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Tappara	56.7%
Draw	20.4%
Ässät	22.9%

Model odds

Tappara	1.76
Draw	4.89
Ässät	4.37

Expected goals

Tappara	3.42
Ässät	2.17

Most probable score

3–2	5.9% probability

Other likely scores

3–2 5.9%
3–1 5.4%
2–2 5.1%
4–2 5.0%
2–1 4.8%
4–1 4.6%

Goal totals

over 3.5	80.8%
over 4.5	65.6%
over 5.5	48.6%
over 6.5	32.7%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2425 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.