NHL · 2027
Buffalo Sabres vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 02:30
Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 02:30
In shortThe model favours Buffalo Sabres (48.7%). Expected goals are 3.25 – 2.56, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.6%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.
Win probabilities
| Buffalo Sabres | 48.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.5% |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 28.8% |
Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.
Model odds
| Buffalo Sabres | 2.05 |
|---|---|
| Draw | 4.44 |
| Philadelphia Flyers | 3.48 |
Expected goals
| Buffalo Sabres | 3.25 |
|---|---|
| Philadelphia Flyers | 2.56 |
Most probable score
| 3–2 | 5.6% probability |
|---|
Other likely scores
- 3–2 5.6%
- 2–2 5.2%
- 3–3 4.8%
- 4–2 4.6%
- 2–3 4.4%
- 3–1 4.4%
Goal totals
| over 3.5 | 83.1% |
|---|---|
| over 4.5 | 68.9% |
| over 5.5 | 52.4% |
| over 6.5 | 36.4% |
Model
These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-20.