NHL · 2027

Calgary Flames vs Minnesota Wild prediction, Friday, 23 October 2026 at 04:00

Friday, 23 October 2026 at 04:00

In shortThe model favours Minnesota Wild (51.0%). Expected goals are 2.36 – 3.23, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–3 (5.8%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Calgary Flames26.6%
Draw22.5%
Minnesota Wild51.0%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Calgary Flames3.77
Draw4.45
Minnesota Wild1.96

Expected goals

Calgary Flames2.36
Minnesota Wild3.23

Most probable score

2–35.8% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.580.8%
over 4.565.6%
over 5.548.6%
over 6.532.7%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4084 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).