NHL · 2027

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 02:00

Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 02:00

In shortThe model favours Columbus Blue Jackets (43.5%). Expected goals are 3.29 – 2.96, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.0%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Columbus Blue Jackets43.5%
Draw22.4%
Toronto Maple Leafs34.2%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Columbus Blue Jackets2.30
Draw4.47
Toronto Maple Leafs2.93

Expected goals

Columbus Blue Jackets3.29
Toronto Maple Leafs2.96

Most probable score

3–25.0% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.587.0%
over 4.574.7%
over 5.559.3%
over 6.543.3%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4072 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).