NHL · 2027

Dallas Stars vs Boston Bruins prediction, Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 03:00

Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 03:00

In shortThe model favours Dallas Stars (44.4%). Expected goals are 2.96 – 2.54, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (5.8%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Dallas Stars	44.4%
Draw	23.6%
Boston Bruins	32.0%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Dallas Stars	2.25
Draw	4.24
Boston Bruins	3.13

Market odds

Dallas Stars	2.00
Draw	4.10
Boston Bruins	3.23

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Dallas Stars	2.96
Boston Bruins	2.54

Most probable score

2–2	5.8% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 5.8%
3–2 5.7%
2–3 4.9%
3–3 4.8%
2–1 4.5%
3–1 4.5%

Goal totals

over 3.5	79.8%
over 4.5	64.2%
over 5.5	47.0%
over 6.5	31.3%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4072 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.