NHL · 2027

Dallas Stars vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, Friday, 23 October 2026 at 03:00

Friday, 23 October 2026 at 03:00

In shortThe model favours Dallas Stars (49.9%). Expected goals are 2.97 – 2.19, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.1%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Dallas Stars49.9%
Draw23.5%
Winnipeg Jets26.6%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Dallas Stars2.00
Draw4.26
Winnipeg Jets3.76

Expected goals

Dallas Stars2.97
Winnipeg Jets2.19

Most probable score

2–26.1% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.575.7%
over 4.558.8%
over 5.541.3%
over 6.526.2%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4084 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).