NHL · 2027

Edmonton Oilers vs Minnesota Wild prediction, Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 04:00

Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 04:00

In shortThe model favours Edmonton Oilers (41.4%). Expected goals are 3.20 – 3.02, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–3 (5.0%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Edmonton Oilers	41.4%
Draw	22.5%
Minnesota Wild	36.1%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Edmonton Oilers	2.42
Draw	4.44
Minnesota Wild	2.77

Market odds

Edmonton Oilers	2.20
Draw	4.20
Minnesota Wild	2.78

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Edmonton Oilers	3.20
Minnesota Wild	3.02

Most probable score

3–3	5.0% probability

Other likely scores

3–3 5.0%
3–2 5.0%
2–3 4.7%
2–2 4.6%
4–3 4.0%
4–2 4.0%

Goal totals

over 3.5	86.8%
over 4.5	74.4%
over 5.5	59.0%
over 6.5	43.0%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4072 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.