NHL · 2027
Montréal Canadiens vs San Jose Sharks prediction, Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 02:00
Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 02:00
In shortThe model favours Montréal Canadiens (54.4%). Expected goals are 3.79 – 2.70, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.0%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.
Win probabilities
| Montréal Canadiens | 54.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.6% |
| San Jose Sharks | 25.0% |
Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.
Model odds
| Montréal Canadiens | 1.84 |
|---|---|
| Draw | 4.86 |
| San Jose Sharks | 3.99 |
Expected goals
| Montréal Canadiens | 3.79 |
|---|---|
| San Jose Sharks | 2.70 |
Most probable score
| 3–2 | 5.0% probability |
|---|
Other likely scores
- 3–2 5.0%
- 4–2 4.8%
- 3–3 4.5%
- 4–3 4.3%
- 2–2 4.0%
- 3–1 3.7%
Goal totals
| over 3.5 | 88.7% |
|---|---|
| over 4.5 | 77.5% |
| over 5.5 | 62.9% |
| over 6.5 | 47.1% |
Model
These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.