NHL · 2027

New York Islanders vs Anaheim Ducks prediction, Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 02:00

Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 02:00

In shortThe model favours New York Islanders (44.4%). Expected goals are 3.11 – 2.71, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.5%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

New York Islanders44.4%
Draw23.0%
Anaheim Ducks32.6%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

New York Islanders2.25
Draw4.35
Anaheim Ducks3.07

Expected goals

New York Islanders3.11
Anaheim Ducks2.71

Most probable score

3–25.5% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.583.2%
over 4.569.0%
over 5.552.5%
over 6.536.5%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4072 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).