NHL · 2027

New York Islanders vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, Friday, 23 October 2026 at 02:30

Friday, 23 October 2026 at 02:30

In shortThe model favours New York Islanders (40.9%). Expected goals are 2.63 – 2.43, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.5%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

New York Islanders40.9%
Draw24.7%
Los Angeles Kings34.4%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

New York Islanders2.45
Draw4.04
Los Angeles Kings2.91

Expected goals

New York Islanders2.63
Los Angeles Kings2.43

Most probable score

2–26.5% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.574.4%
over 4.557.0%
over 5.539.5%
over 6.524.7%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4084 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).