NHL · 2027

Ottawa Senators vs Florida Panthers prediction, Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 02:30

Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 02:30

In shortThe model favours Ottawa Senators (46.1%). Expected goals are 3.21 – 2.69, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.5%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Ottawa Senators46.1%
Draw22.7%
Florida Panthers31.2%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Ottawa Senators2.17
Draw4.40
Florida Panthers3.21

Expected goals

Ottawa Senators3.21
Florida Panthers2.69

Most probable score

3–25.5% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.584.0%
over 4.570.2%
over 5.553.8%
over 6.537.8%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4076 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).