NHL · 2027
Ottawa Senators vs San Jose Sharks prediction, Friday, 23 October 2026 at 02:00
Friday, 23 October 2026 at 02:00
In shortThe model favours Ottawa Senators (56.7%). Expected goals are 3.68 – 2.44, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.4%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.
Win probabilities
| Ottawa Senators | 56.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.6% |
| San Jose Sharks | 22.8% |
Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.
Model odds
| Ottawa Senators | 1.76 |
|---|---|
| Draw | 4.86 |
| San Jose Sharks | 4.40 |
Expected goals
| Ottawa Senators | 3.68 |
|---|---|
| San Jose Sharks | 2.44 |
Most probable score
| 3–2 | 5.4% probability |
|---|
Other likely scores
- 3–2 5.4%
- 4–2 5.0%
- 3–1 4.5%
- 2–2 4.4%
- 3–3 4.4%
- 4–1 4.1%
Goal totals
| over 3.5 | 86.0% |
|---|---|
| over 4.5 | 73.1% |
| over 5.5 | 57.4% |
| over 6.5 | 41.4% |
Model
These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-21.