NHL · 2027

Philadelphia Flyers vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 02:00

Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 02:00

In shortThe model favours Colorado Avalanche (54.1%). Expected goals are 2.32 – 3.40, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–3 (5.8%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Philadelphia Flyers	24.3%
Draw	21.6%
Colorado Avalanche	54.1%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Philadelphia Flyers	4.12
Draw	4.62
Colorado Avalanche	1.85

Market odds

Philadelphia Flyers	4.00
Draw	4.50
Colorado Avalanche	1.72

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Philadelphia Flyers	2.32
Colorado Avalanche	3.40

Most probable score

2–3	5.8% probability

Other likely scores

2–3 5.8%
2–2 5.1%
1–3 5.0%
2–4 4.9%
3–3 4.5%
1–2 4.4%

Goal totals

over 3.5	82.2%
over 4.5	67.5%
over 5.5	50.8%
over 6.5	34.9%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4072 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.