NHL · 2027

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Florida Panthers prediction, Friday, 23 October 2026 at 02:00

Friday, 23 October 2026 at 02:00

In shortThe model favours Pittsburgh Penguins (44.1%). Expected goals are 3.52 – 3.16, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–3 (4.8%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Pittsburgh Penguins44.1%
Draw21.7%
Florida Panthers34.2%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Pittsburgh Penguins2.27
Draw4.61
Florida Panthers2.92

Expected goals

Pittsburgh Penguins3.52
Florida Panthers3.16

Most probable score

3–34.8% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.590.0%
over 4.579.6%
over 5.565.7%
over 6.550.2%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4084 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).