NHL · 2027

Seattle Kraken vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 04:40

Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 04:40

In shortThe model favours Seattle Kraken (41.2%). Expected goals are 3.01 – 2.83, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.3%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Seattle Kraken	41.2%
Draw	23.2%
Detroit Red Wings	35.7%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Seattle Kraken	2.43
Draw	4.32
Detroit Red Wings	2.80

Market odds

Seattle Kraken	2.50
Draw	4.15
Detroit Red Wings	2.42

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Seattle Kraken	3.01
Detroit Red Wings	2.83

Most probable score

3–2	5.3% probability

Other likely scores

3–2 5.3%
2–2 5.3%
3–3 5.0%
2–3 5.0%
4–2 4.0%
4–3 3.8%

Goal totals

over 3.5	83.5%
over 4.5	69.4%
over 5.5	52.9%
over 6.5	36.9%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4072 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.