NHL · 2027

St. Louis Blues vs Vegas Golden Knights prediction, Friday, 23 October 2026 at 03:00

Friday, 23 October 2026 at 03:00

In shortThe model favours Vegas Golden Knights (41.8%). Expected goals are 2.81 – 3.06, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–3 (5.3%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

St. Louis Blues35.1%
Draw23.1%
Vegas Golden Knights41.8%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

St. Louis Blues2.85
Draw4.33
Vegas Golden Knights2.39

Expected goals

St. Louis Blues2.81
Vegas Golden Knights3.06

Most probable score

2–35.3% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.583.7%
over 4.569.8%
over 5.553.4%
over 6.537.3%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4084 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).