NHL · 2027

Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 04:00

Tuesday, 20 October 2026 at 04:00

In shortThe model favours Utah Mammoth (44.1%). Expected goals are 3.57 – 3.21, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–3 (4.8%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Utah Mammoth	44.1%
Draw	21.6%
Pittsburgh Penguins	34.4%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Utah Mammoth	2.27
Draw	4.64
Pittsburgh Penguins	2.91

Market odds

Utah Mammoth	1.90
Draw	4.40
Pittsburgh Penguins	3.32

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Utah Mammoth	3.57
Pittsburgh Penguins	3.21

Most probable score

3–3	4.8% probability

Other likely scores

3–3 4.8%
3–2 4.4%
4–3 4.2%
2–3 4.0%
4–2 4.0%
3–4 3.8%

Goal totals

over 3.5	90.6%
over 4.5	80.6%
over 5.5	67.0%
over 6.5	51.7%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4072 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.