SHL · 2027

HV71 vs Frölunda prediction, Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:00

Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:00

In shortThe model favours Frölunda (51.0%). Expected goals are 2.30 – 3.08, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–3 (5.9%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

HV7126.9%
Draw22.1%
Frölunda51.0%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

HV713.71
Draw4.54
Frölunda1.96

Expected goals

HV712.30
Frölunda3.08

Most probable score

2–35.9% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.578.4%
over 4.562.3%
over 5.545.0%
over 6.529.5%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1891 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).