SHL · 2027

Luleå vs Djurgården prediction, Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:00

Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:00

In shortThe model favours Luleå (53.7%). Expected goals are 3.09 – 2.15, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (6.0%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Luleå53.7%
Draw21.9%
Djurgården24.4%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Luleå1.86
Draw4.58
Djurgården4.09

Expected goals

Luleå3.09
Djurgården2.15

Most probable score

3–26.0% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.576.7%
over 4.560.0%
over 5.542.6%
over 6.527.4%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1891 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).