SHL · 2027

Malmö vs Timrå prediction, Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 16:15

Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 16:15

In shortThe model favours Malmö (44.5%). Expected goals are 2.74 – 2.35, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.4%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Malmö44.5%
Draw23.5%
Timrå32.0%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Malmö2.25
Draw4.25
Timrå3.13

Expected goals

Malmö2.74
Timrå2.35

Most probable score

2–26.4% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.574.8%
over 4.557.5%
over 5.540.0%
over 6.525.1%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1891 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).