SHL · 2027

Örebro vs Brynäs prediction, Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00

Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00

In shortThe model favours Brynäs (40.5%). Expected goals are 2.56 – 2.70, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.2%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Örebro	36.2%
Draw	23.3%
Brynäs	40.5%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Örebro	2.76
Draw	4.28
Brynäs	2.47

Market odds

Örebro	2.78
Draw	3.85
Brynäs	2.25

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Örebro	2.56
Brynäs	2.70

Most probable score

2–2	6.2% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.2%
2–3 5.6%
3–2 5.3%
1–2 4.8%
3–3 4.8%
2–1 4.6%

Goal totals

over 3.5	77.0%
over 4.5	60.5%
over 5.5	43.1%
over 6.5	27.8%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1889 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.