SHL · 2027
Rögle vs Frölunda prediction, Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00
Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00
In shortThe model favours Rögle (37.9%). Expected goals are 2.33 – 2.31, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (7.0%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.
Win probabilities
| Rögle | 37.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.0% |
| Frölunda | 37.1% |
Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.
Model odds
| Rögle | 2.64 |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.99 |
| Frölunda | 2.70 |
Expected goals
| Rögle | 2.33 |
|---|---|
| Frölunda | 2.31 |
Most probable score
| 2–2 | 7.0% probability |
|---|
Other likely scores
- 2–2 7.0%
- 2–1 6.0%
- 1–2 6.0%
- 3–2 5.4%
- 1–1 5.4%
- 2–3 5.4%
Goal totals
| over 3.5 | 68.2% |
|---|---|
| over 4.5 | 49.5% |
| over 5.5 | 32.2% |
| over 6.5 | 18.8% |
Model
These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.