SHL · 2027

Skellefteå vs Djurgården prediction, Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00

Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00

In shortThe model favours Skellefteå (62.5%). Expected goals are 3.52 – 2.04, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.8%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Skellefteå62.5%
Draw19.1%
Djurgården18.4%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Skellefteå1.60
Draw5.23
Djurgården5.44

Expected goals

Skellefteå3.52
Djurgården2.04

Most probable score

3–25.8% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.580.5%
over 4.565.2%
over 5.548.1%
over 6.532.4%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1889 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).