SHL · 2027

Timrå vs Färjestad prediction, Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00

Thursday, 22 October 2026 at 20:00

In shortThe model favours Färjestad (46.0%). Expected goals are 2.32 – 2.80, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.3%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Timrå	30.7%
Draw	23.3%
Färjestad	46.0%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Timrå	3.26
Draw	4.29
Färjestad	2.17

Market odds

Timrå	3.45
Draw	3.95
Färjestad	1.92

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Timrå	2.32
Färjestad	2.80

Most probable score

2–2	6.3% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.3%
2–3 5.9%
1–2 5.4%
1–3 5.1%
3–2 4.9%
3–3 4.5%

Goal totals

over 3.5	75.2%
over 4.5	58.0%
over 5.5	40.5%
over 6.5	25.6%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1889 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-19.