Liiga · 2027

Ilves vs SaiPa prediction, Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 15:00

Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 15:00

In shortThe model favours Ilves (46.0%). Expected goals are 2.88 – 2.40, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.1%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Ilves	46.0%
Draw	22.7%
SaiPa	31.3%

Model odds

Ilves	2.17
Draw	4.40
SaiPa	3.20

Expected goals

Ilves	2.88
SaiPa	2.40

Most probable score

2–2	6.1% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.1%
3–2 5.8%
2–1 5.1%
3–1 4.9%
2–3 4.9%
3–3 4.7%

Goal totals

over 3.5	77.2%
over 4.5	60.7%
over 5.5	43.3%
over 6.5	28.0%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2483 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-11-13.