Liiga · 2027

Sport vs HPK prediction, Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:00

Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:00

In shortThe model favours HPK (40.9%). Expected goals are 2.37 – 2.61, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.6%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Sport	35.5%
Draw	23.6%
HPK	40.9%

Model odds

Sport	2.82
Draw	4.23
HPK	2.45

Expected goals

Sport	2.37
HPK	2.61

Most probable score

2–2	6.6% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.6%
2–3 5.7%
1–2 5.5%
3–2 5.2%
2–1 5.0%
1–3 4.8%

Goal totals

over 3.5	73.3%
over 4.5	55.7%
over 5.5	38.1%
over 6.5	23.5%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2482 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-11-13.