Liiga · 2027

Pelicans vs Ässät prediction, Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:30

Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:30

In shortThe model favours Pelicans (43.6%). Expected goals are 2.55 – 2.21, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.8%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Pelicans43.6%
Draw24.0%
Ässät32.4%

Draw opportunity. The model's draw probability of 24% sits above the league average of 22.8%.

Model odds

Pelicans2.29
Draw4.17
Ässät3.09

Expected goals

Pelicans2.55
Ässät2.21

Most probable score

2–26.8% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.570.0%
over 4.551.7%
over 5.534.3%
over 6.520.4%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2482 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).