Liiga · 2027

Kärpät vs Tappara prediction, Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:00

Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 17:00

In shortThe model favours Tappara (46.3%). Expected goals are 2.49 – 3.10, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–3 (5.8%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Kärpät	31.6%
Draw	22.0%
Tappara	46.3%

Model odds

Kärpät	3.16
Draw	4.54
Tappara	2.16

Expected goals

Kärpät	2.49
Tappara	3.10

Most probable score

2–3	5.8% probability

Other likely scores

2–3 5.8%
2–2 5.6%
3–3 4.8%
1–3 4.6%
3–2 4.6%
1–2 4.5%

Goal totals

over 3.5	80.8%
over 4.5	65.5%
over 5.5	48.5%
over 6.5	32.7%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2482 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-11-13.