NHL · 2027

Montréal Canadiens vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 02:00

Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 02:00

In shortThe model favours Colorado Avalanche (44.0%). Expected goals are 2.98 – 3.37, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–3 (4.9%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Montréal Canadiens33.8%
Draw22.1%
Colorado Avalanche44.0%

Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Montréal Canadiens2.96
Draw4.51
Colorado Avalanche2.27

Expected goals

Montréal Canadiens2.98
Colorado Avalanche3.37

Most probable score

2–34.9% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.587.8%
over 4.575.9%
over 5.560.9%
over 6.545.0%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 4245 games (2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).