NHL · 2027
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 02:00
Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 02:00
In shortThe model favours Tampa Bay Lightning (55.5%). Expected goals are 3.70 – 2.53, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.3%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.
Win probabilities
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 55.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.7% |
| Detroit Red Wings | 23.8% |
Last meeting. Tue 03/11: Tampa Bay Lightning – Detroit Red Wings 4–2.
Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.
Model odds
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.80 |
|---|---|
| Draw | 4.83 |
| Detroit Red Wings | 4.19 |
Market odds
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.78 |
|---|---|
| Draw | 4.40 |
| Detroit Red Wings | 3.75 |
Expected goals
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 3.70 |
|---|---|
| Detroit Red Wings | 2.53 |
Most probable score
| 3–2 | 5.3% probability |
|---|
Other likely scores
- 3–2 5.3%
- 4–2 4.9%
- 3–3 4.5%
- 2–2 4.3%
- 3–1 4.2%
- 4–3 4.2%
Goal totals
| over 3.5 | 86.8% |
|---|---|
| over 4.5 | 74.5% |
| over 5.5 | 59.0% |
| over 6.5 | 43.0% |
Model
These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-11-13.