SHL · 2027

Frölunda vs Rögle prediction, Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 20:00

Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 20:00

In shortThe model favours Frölunda (47.3%). Expected goals are 2.65 – 2.08, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.7%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Frölunda47.3%
Draw24.1%
Rögle28.6%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Frölunda2.11
Draw4.15
Rögle3.50

Expected goals

Frölunda2.65
Rögle2.08

Most probable score

2–26.7% probability

Other likely scores

Goal totals

over 3.569.5%
over 4.551.1%
over 5.533.6%
over 6.519.9%
See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1897 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).