SHL · 2027

HV71 vs Timrå prediction, Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 16:15

Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 16:15

In shortThe model favours HV71 (39.0%). Expected goals are 2.60 – 2.54, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.4%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

HV71	39.0%
Draw	23.7%
Timrå	37.3%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

HV71	2.57
Draw	4.22
Timrå	2.68

Market odds

HV71	2.32
Draw	3.90
Timrå	2.68

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

HV71	2.60
Timrå	2.54

Most probable score

2–2	6.4% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.4%
3–2 5.5%
2–3 5.4%
2–1 5.0%
1–2 4.9%
3–3 4.7%

Goal totals

over 3.5	75.4%
over 4.5	58.4%
over 5.5	40.9%
over 6.5	25.9%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1927 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-11-13.