SHL · 2027

Malmö vs Växjö prediction, Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 16:15

Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 16:15

In shortThe model favours Malmö (42.3%). Expected goals are 2.74 – 2.49, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.2%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Malmö	42.3%
Draw	23.3%
Växjö	34.3%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Malmö	2.36
Draw	4.29
Växjö	2.91

Market odds

Malmö	2.01
Draw	4.00
Växjö	3.15

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Malmö	2.74
Växjö	2.49

Most probable score

2–2	6.2% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.2%
3–2 5.7%
2–3 5.2%
2–1 5.0%
3–3 4.7%
3–1 4.6%

Goal totals

over 3.5	76.6%
over 4.5	60.0%
over 5.5	42.5%
over 6.5	27.3%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1927 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-11-13.