SHL · 2027

Örebro vs Djurgården prediction, Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 19:00

Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 19:00

In shortThe model favours Örebro (48.1%). Expected goals are 2.88 – 2.28, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.2%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Örebro	48.1%
Draw	23.0%
Djurgården	29.0%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Örebro	2.08
Draw	4.35
Djurgården	3.45

Market odds

Örebro	2.04
Draw	3.95
Djurgården	3.15

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Örebro	2.88
Djurgården	2.28

Most probable score

2–2	6.2% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.2%
3–2 5.9%
2–1 5.4%
3–1 5.2%
2–3 4.7%
3–3 4.5%

Goal totals

over 3.5	75.7%
over 4.5	58.7%
over 5.5	41.2%
over 6.5	26.1%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1927 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-11-13.