SHL · 2027

Luleå vs Färjestad prediction, Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 19:00

Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 19:00

In shortThe model favours Färjestad (41.4%). Expected goals are 2.44 – 2.65, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.4%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

Luleå	34.9%
Draw	23.7%
Färjestad	41.4%

Goals only. SHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.

Model odds

Luleå	2.87
Draw	4.21
Färjestad	2.42

Market odds

Luleå	2.95
Draw	3.95
Färjestad	2.12

Odds: Veikkaus

Expected goals

Luleå	2.44
Färjestad	2.65

Most probable score

2–2	6.4% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.4%
2–3 5.7%
1–2 5.3%
3–2 5.3%
2–1 4.9%
1–3 4.7%

Goal totals

over 3.5	74.8%
over 4.5	57.5%
over 5.5	40.0%
over 6.5	25.1%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 1927 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-11-13.