Liiga · 2027

HPK vs HIFK prediction, Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:00

Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:00

In shortThe model favours HPK (42.7%). Expected goals are 2.71 – 2.44, and the most likely single scoreline is 2–2 (6.3%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

HPK	42.7%
Draw	23.3%
HIFK	34.0%

Model odds

HPK	2.34
Draw	4.29
HIFK	2.94

Expected goals

HPK	2.71
HIFK	2.44

Most probable score

2–2	6.3% probability

Other likely scores

2–2 6.3%
3–2 5.7%
2–1 5.2%
2–3 5.2%
1–2 4.7%
3–1 4.7%

Goal totals

over 3.5	75.5%
over 4.5	58.5%
over 5.5	41.0%
over 6.5	26.0%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2434 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-22.