Liiga · 2027

JYP vs Ässät prediction, Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:00

Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:00

In shortThe model favours JYP (50.3%). Expected goals are 3.14 – 2.35, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.9%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.

Win probabilities

JYP	50.3%
Draw	21.8%
Ässät	27.9%

Model odds

JYP	1.99
Draw	4.58
Ässät	3.59

Expected goals

JYP	3.14
Ässät	2.35

Most probable score

3–2	5.9% probability

Other likely scores

3–2 5.9%
2–2 5.6%
3–1 5.0%
2–1 4.8%
4–2 4.6%
3–3 4.6%

Goal totals

over 3.5	79.7%
over 4.5	64.1%
over 5.5	46.9%
over 6.5	31.2%

See the full game day and live numbers →

Model

Poisson-based model, fitted on 2434 games (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027).

These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-22.