NHL · 2027
Colorado Avalanche vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 04:00
Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 04:00
In shortThe model favours Colorado Avalanche (45.3%). Expected goals are 3.37 – 2.91, and the most likely single scoreline is 3–2 (5.1%). No single scoreline is likely on its own: hockey is high-variance, and these numbers only say which way the game leans.
Win probabilities
| Colorado Avalanche | 45.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.2% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 32.5% |
Goals only. NHL forecasts are built from goals alone: the league publishes no shot-quality data we can use and no lineups before puck drop.
Model odds
| Colorado Avalanche | 2.21 |
|---|---|
| Draw | 4.51 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 3.07 |
Expected goals
| Colorado Avalanche | 3.37 |
|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning | 2.91 |
Most probable score
| 3–2 | 5.1% probability |
|---|
Other likely scores
- 3–2 5.1%
- 3–3 4.9%
- 2–2 4.5%
- 2–3 4.4%
- 4–2 4.3%
- 4–3 4.1%
Goal totals
| over 3.5 | 87.2% |
|---|---|
| over 4.5 | 75.0% |
| over 5.5 | 59.8% |
| over 6.5 | 43.8% |
Model
These numbers are estimates from a statistical model, not betting advice. Gamble responsibly. 18+. Updated: 2026-10-22.